8 Comments
Jul 16, 2023Liked by Michael Fritzell

JHC is such an interesting retail operation. If you’ve visited any of their stores, they seem to be a cross between TJ Maxx and Dollar General. There is a treasure hunt part of the shopping experience that is understated, and they do sell more higher-ticket items (I.e. rice cookers, etc.) than a Dollar General. I think that’s part of their secret sauce?

I wish their growth outlook was more exciting though.

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Yeah, they have an odd mix of goods. But incredibly cheap across the board since they have no middle-men and produce goods cheaply in China. I think that's what explains their consistently high same-store sales growth.

There will probably be a post-COVID slump in sales (face masks, etc) and then store count growth will be slow and steady. Still a low multiple though.

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From the cash flow statement, they seem to be doing a small buyback, like 10 million KHD (<1% share outstanding); not sure what you mean by a 10% stock buyback in 2022. Did they announce any major buybacks? It is a dividend stock with very low growth potential if they stick with Hong Kong territory. I feel founders buy shares for the income (dividend); Hong Kong 5 year bond is about a 3.5% yield, and this company give a yield of 8% (assuming it is stable), which is very attractive, even if it drops to 6% (stock price appreciated by 33%) still not bad. Another one, like CK Hutchison, pays about 6% yield. Thanks for sharing, worth to look further to park the HKD money.

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Yes, they announced a 10% share buyback in 2022 and Bloomberg says it's completed, yet I didn't see it in the accounts. I agree with you that the growth potential remains weak in HK, and they haven't really proven themselves outside of HK even though I think the Philippine business has some potential. The same-store sales is impressive, so I think mid-single digit top-line growth across the cycle is reasonable too.

CK Hutchison is an interesting one too, I wrote about it last year here: https://www.asiancenturystocks.com/p/deep-dive-2022-2-ck-hutchison

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I think you refer to the meeting proposal on 2022-08-30, I think they have the authority to do share buyback from 2021 to 2022 but they did not do it, hence, it is lapsed and "completed".

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That explains it, thanks!

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Aug 16, 2023Liked by Michael Fritzell

Hi Sir,

International Housewares Retail dropped to HKD2.33.

Hope its just 'knee-jerk' reaction to 'not rosy' China Finance figures.

Best Regards

David

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The print was a bit weak. Mostly due to a high base due to last year's sales of face masks. So the company is seeing some short-term headwinds due to the end of COVID restrictions. On trailing numbers, the P/E is now 9x.

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