Skip to content

Trump's tariff plan

An interview with economist Priyanka Kishore, discussing the impact of "Trump 2.0" on Asia

I invited economist Priyanka Kishore to discuss the impact of Donald Trump’s election on Asia.

Priyanka runs the Asia Decoded Substack newsletter, which specializes in macroeconomics and geopolitics in Asia. She has a background as an economist and FX strategist for companies such as Standard Chartered, Oxford Economics and ICICI Bank.

In this discussion, we discuss her 2025 outlook, Donald Trump’s tariff plan, how future US monetary- and fiscal policy is likely to affect Asia, US protectionism, China’s weakening economic growth and the likelihood that China’s stimulus measures will turn the tide.

Table of contents:
1. Priyanka’s background
2. Her economic outlook
3. Trump’s tariffs
4. US and Asia monetary policy
5. Asian currencies
6. US investment bans
7. The Chinese economy

A summary of the discussion follows below:

This post is for paying subscribers only

Subscribe

Already have an account? Sign In

Latest

The DRAM capital cycle

The DRAM capital cycle

My friend MacroValue recently noted that the spot price for DDR5 memory chips has started declining, after an incredible rise from September 2025 onwards: This decline begs the question: Is the DRAM capital cycle nearing its peak? The "capital cycle" concept comes from Edward Chancellor who put together

Members Public
India's development trajectory

India's development trajectory

Last week, I read Amitabh Kant's book Made in India, which examines the growth of private-sector entrepreneurship in India. Let me share the key insights from the book: One is that many of today's conglomerates – Tata, Birla, Godrej, Bajaj, Cipla, etc. – were formed during the British

Members Public